Blitzkrieg Bop! US Mortgage Rate Fall As Economic Barbell Stresses US Rates (Treasury Volatility Curve Sends Disturbing Message)

US home buyers are benefitting from European economic misery (particularly Germany and fiscal-stressed Italy). I call this the Blitzkrieg Bop.

On the other side of the interest rate barbell is China (and Japan). So while the USA is growing, Germany and Japan are not doing so well, causing their Central Banks to push rates to zero .,.. or lower. Even China’s Central Bank is buying everything in sight in fear of a recession.

Hence, US mortgage lenders and potential homebuyers benefit is terms of dropping interest rates.

You can see the downward plunge in the Treasury Volatility Curve (MOVE – TYVIX) as Central Banks become active in 2008 and 2009. The 30-year mortgage rate has been declining thanks to hyper-intrusion of global central banks, killing off bond volatility.

morgratvol

Allegedly, The Federal Reserve is ceasing its raising of their target rate and will stop shrinking their balance sheet in September.

Mortgage purchase applications (NSA) are in their third phase and doing quite nicely, helped along recently by the barbell slowdowns overseas.

mbaprare

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