According to the US Census Bureau, sales of new homes fell 6.2% YoY in April.
No, it does not look like new home sales from the housing bubble burst of the ALT-A, private label MBS years.
Yes, near record low mortgage rates are helping to mitigate the horrid effects of the COVID-19 fiasco.
Home prices in March, according to the lagged Case-Shiller national home price index rose 4.4% YoY. COVID-19 epicenters Seattle and New York City both managed to see YoY gains in home prices in March. (Phoenix AZ is leading the nation in YoY home price growth at 8.2%, nearly twice the national average).
So far the COVID-19 epidemic does not look like the notorious housing bubble burst of the second half of the 2000-2010 decade of The Big Short frame. But the CMBX BBB- index of commercial mortgage-backed securities is getting crushed by retail, hotel and office losses.
Although this has nothing to do with real estate, this Bloomberg headline grabbed my attention: “Macron Pledges $9 Billion in Stimulus to Help French Carmakers.” Hey Macron, how about telling Renault, Citroën and Peugeot to make cars that buyers in US want to buy!