July Payrolls, A Big Swing And A Miss! Only 114k Jobs Added (A 3 Sigma Miss!) Increase Of 352k Unemployed, Yield Curve SCREAMS Recession Ahead!

Qhat a terrible jobs report! The number of unemployed rose by 352k and only 114k jobs added.

It was a 3 sigma miss to the median estimate of 175K.

May revised down by 2,000, from +218,000 to +216,000, and the change for June was revised down by 27,000, from +206,000 to +179,000. With these revisions, employment in May and June combined is 29,000 lower than previously reported. It gets better because as shown in the next chart shows, 5 of the past 6 months have now been revised lower.

And the US yield curve is screaming recession ahead!

Over the last year, native-born Americans have LOST 1.2 million jobs while foreign-born employment has increased 1.3 million; we’re just swapping out American workers at this point.