What a long, strange trip it has been under the gross economic mismanagement by the Biden/Harris team.
First, market participants are pricing in nearly 250 basis points (or 2.5%) in rate cuts by Jan 2026. Down to 3% from the cuurent rate of 5.50.

Why? The economy is a shambles due to bad economic policies by Harris/Biden and their Congressional stooges, especially Schumer in the Senate and Pelosi in the House. Hence, The Fed will feel pressure to lower rates. Although I don’t think that it will happen.
Of course, the Philly Fed disclosed that the Biden/Harris administration overstated jobs added by almost 1 million jobs in Q2. I would love to see Harris interviewed about that and watch her deflect and break into gales of laughter. How do American workers feel about Biden/Harris overstating jobs gains by almost 1 million jobs?? Isn’t that fraud?
Yield beta is expected to accelerate.

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