Big Trouble In Big China?
China cut the amount of cash most banks must hold in reserve, acting to counter the economic slowdown in a move that puts the central bank on a different policy path than many of its peers.
The People’s Bank of China will reduce the reserve requirement ratio by 0.5 percentage point for most banks on Dec. 15, releasing 1.2 trillion yuan (US$188 billion) of liquidity, according to a statement published Monday.
The reduction was signaled by Premier Li Keqiang last week when he said that authorities would cut the RRR at an appropriate time to help smaller companies, and is the second reduction this year.
The decision comes after recent data showed the economy and industry stabilizing, although Beijing’s tightening curbs on the property market have led to a slump in construction and worsened a liquidity crisis at developer China Evergrande Group and other real estate firms.
Evergrande’s ADR is collapsing (now 5.975) along with Evergrande debt falling to 23.12 (versus 100 par).
China’s credit impulse has nosedived (see pink box) as the PBOC drops bank reserve ratios to lowest level since 2007 in an effort to float the boat. Will the PBOC drop in reserve ratios stem the tide? Or is it peasant magic?
Yes, its big trouble in big China. Let’s hope it isn’t the Three Storms (commercial real estate bubble, low Central Bank reserve ratios and … fear).