Traders Now Pricing In One Rate Cut This Year, But Not Until The End Of 2024, After The Election (Home Prices UP 32.5% Under Biden, Mortgage Rates UP 160%)

The Federal Reserve is playing the song “Don’t rock the boat” ahead of the Presidential election. Despite the horrible economic news.

1) 4 months of hotter inflation (like today’s stagflationary GDP report)

2) Nearly 1.5 million full-time jobs decline with 1.9 part-time jobs created over a year

3) $2 trillion annual deficits

Leading traders to price in 1 rate cut in December 2024. AFTER THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION!

Under Biden, home prices are up 32.5% and conforming 30Y mortgage rates are UP 160%.

One of my colleagues at George Mason University in finance (an economics PhD) constantly quoted Lenin’s famous “You have to break a few eggs to make an omelet.” But why is it always OUR eggs that have to be cracked, never the wealthy elite.

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