While The Typical Starter Home Is $198,649, A Record 242 Cities Have Starter Homes Valued At $1 Million Or More (California Has 105 Cities With $1M+ Starter Homes)

SEATTLE, June 15, 2026 /PRNewswire/ — The bar for entry-level homeownership has never been higher. While the typical starter home nationwide is worth $198,649, a record 242 cities now have starter homes valued at $1 million or more,

A record 242 US cities now have starter homes that cost $1 million, according to Zillow

A typical “starter home” is defined for this analysis as a home in the lowest third of home values in a given region. The count of cities with million-dollar starter homes has grown from 226 cities a year ago, even as affordability pressures have begun to ease in parts of the country.

The effects of the pandemic housing boom have proven durable. A housing shortage, a decade in the making, ran headlong into intense demand amid historic lows in mortgage rates, driving up home values at a record pace. While plenty of markets are still feeling the pinch of this price reset, conditions are slowly becoming friendlier for buyers: The typical home buyer now breaks even relative to renting after roughly six years, down from more than eight years in late 2023.

“The pandemic reset the cost of buying a home, spreading million-dollar starter homes from a handful of coastal states to more than two dozen states across the country,” said Kara Ng, senior economist at Zillow. “But while it may feel like a market of beer tastes at champagne budgets, those million-dollar starter homes are still the exception. More inventory, slower price growth and a narrowing rent-versus-buy gap mean buyers who are financially prepared are generally in better shape than in recent years.”

New York and New Jersey are the fastest-growing states on the list, adding 15 cities combined in the past year. New York’s total has reached 41 — up from just 12 before the pandemic — while New Jersey’s has grown to 26, up from only one. The pattern mirrors what Zillow found in its 2026 hottest markets analysis: Six of the 10 most competitive housing markets in the country are in the Northeast, where new construction has lagged and inventory deficits run deep.

“Million-dollar starter homes are popping up in more Northeast cities because the housing shortage there hasn’t been solved,” said Ng. “Sun Belt markets have responded with new supply and seen price growth moderate as a result. The Northeast hasn’t had that relief. Eliminating barriers to building like restrictive zoning is the most direct path to improvement, which is something Zillow is actively advocating for across the country.”

California still leads overall with 105 cities, and 26 states now have at least one city with million-dollar starter homes, up from nine before the pandemic. Before 2020, this list was made up almost entirely of coastal states; Colorado was the only interior state with a million-dollar starter home city. Now, Texas, Wyoming and Illinois, among others, have multiple such cities.

The New York City metro area, which includes parts of New Jersey and Pennsylvania, leads all metro areas with 63 cities where a typical starter home costs $1 million or more. The San Francisco metro follows with 37, then Los Angeles (33), San Jose (13), Miami (8) and Seattle (8).

For buyers navigating today’s market, Zillow Home Loans’ BuyAbility℠ tool provides a personalized, real-time estimate of the home price and monthly payment that fit within their budget. Home listings on Zillow also include a down payment assistance module to help shoppers identify local programs that may be available to them.

For those who decide renting is the right call, Zillow Rentals® lists options across every price point and property type — including single-family homes, apartments and individual room listings. Renters can also use CreditClimb to report on-time rent payments to the major credit bureaus, building the credit history that will put them in a stronger position when they’re ready to buy.

Of course, builders are reluctant to build starter homes since the profit margin on starter homes is lower than on premium homes.

MBA Mortgage Purchase Application Down -3.7% As Mortgage Rates Rise

MBA Mortgage Purchase Index down -3.7% over the past week after climbing +1.2% in prior week…30y mortgage rate rose to +6.45% up from +6.37% and highest in a month.

With the Federal government playing an outsized role in the housing and mortgage markets, the Federal goverment is like an enormous Mantis Shrimp.

New Home Sales Rise In March Despite Rising Mortgage Rates

High home prices show signs of cooling, mortgage rates remain fairly constant, while new home sales increase by 47k in March. Despite rising mortgage rates.

The bigger picture? New home sales remain relatively depressed after the Covid outbreak in 2020.

US Debt To GDP Ratio At 1.22 (Nothing Has Been The Same Since 2020 Covid Outbreak)

It used to be that a debt-to-GDP (Gross Domestic Product) ratio above 1.0 would be disastrous. Yet, the US Debt-to-GDP ratio rises during and after most recessions. Why? The old Keynesian model called for increased government spending and debt to pull the country out of a recession. But the Keynesian model called for debt to be repaind after the recession ended. But after most recessions, the Federal government keeps spending and borrowing. Following the Covid outbreak of 2020, the US debt-to-GDP ratio exceeded 1.0 and has remained fairly constant since.

As of today, the US Federal debt load is $39.204 trillion while GDP is $32.090 trillion resulting in a debt-to-GDP ratio of 1.22.

The leader in the debt-to-GDP race is … Sudan! Followed by Japan and Singapore.

As lowest debt-to-GDP ratio nations are energy-rich Brunei (2.3%) and Kuwait (3%).

40% More Home Sellers Than Buyers (Credit Quality Of Mortgages Deteriorating)

For all the cheerleaders for housing markets, I hate to be the contrast voice.

Per Redfin, home sellers outnumbered buyers by 43.1% in March…up from 28.0% a year ago but shy of December’s 45.2%, which was largest gap on record.

This imbalance is occuring as credit quality is deteriorating.

Home Prices Rise 0.9% YoY Despite Lower Mortgage Rates (Blue City Mean Reversion, New York 4.9% YoY Gain, Chicago 4.6% YoY, Cleveland 3.6% YoY While Tampa -2.5%)

We are seeing mean reversion in home prices in red cities and blue cities.

The price of homes in America’s to 20 cities rose just 0.16% MoM in January (the lowest MoM rise since August and well below the 0.35% MoM expected.

Source: Bloomberg

Home prices rose 0.9% YoY as mortgage rates have fallen. Home prices are still too high.

New York leads with a 4.9% annual gain, followed by Chicago at 4.6% and Cleveland at 3.6%, while Tampa fell 2.5%…

Don’t be confused. This isn’t leftists running to blue cities. It is mean reversion. The prior fleeing blue cities to red cities created a mean reversion effect where red cities home prices rose too fast and blue cities fell too fast.

Little Rock?

Seller’s Market In Housing! There Are 630,000 More Home Sellers Than Buyers—the Biggest Gap on Record (50% More Sellers Than Buyers)

Nothing has been the same in the US housing market since the Covid outbreak of 2020. According to Redfin, there are nearly 50% more home sellers than buyers.

And the number of homebuyers has fallen to historic lows.

A good reason there are so few buyers is that home prices has soared after the Federal government’s spending spree after Covid.

Prayers for the soul of Noelia Castillo Ramos, murdered by the Spanish government. For being gangrape TWICE by immigrants then attempted suicide.

US New Home Sales Decline By Most In 13 Years In January (Home Prices Remain Too High After Covid Spending Spree)

Despite falling mortgage rates, analysts expected December’s drop in new home sales to accelerate in January… and accelerate they did… crashing a stunning 17.6% MoM (-2.7% MoM exp) – the biggest MoM drop since July 2013.

This huge MoM drop dragged sales down 11.3% YoY – the worst slide in three years.

Source: Bloomberg

This huge drop dragged the new home sales SAAR down to its lowest since 2022, catching down to existing and pending sales…

Inventories are up (Houses for sale in Jan. rose 0.4% m/m to 476,000), prices are down (Median down 6.8% YoY at $400k – lowest since 2024)

…and remember these deals were signed in January – meaning this is not mortgage related (some suggesting weather impact – Northeast sales down 44.7% MoM, MidWest -33.9% MoM, but the scale is immense).

Moral of the story: US home prices are too high for millions of households to afford.

US Home Relistings Hit Record High (Delistings Soared In 2025 After Sellers Outnumbered Buyers)

Housing market woes continue. All the day and all the night.

Around 45,000 homes that were delisted in 2025 were back on the market in January – marking the highest relisting numbers since 2016 when Redfin began tracking.

Delistings soared in 2025 after sellers began to outnumber buyers, and decided to take their homes off the market to take another bite at the apple this spring. Overall delistings hit a record high of 112,788 in December, while relistings this year represented 3.6% of all homes on the market. 

Supply gains have been concentrated in the South and West, particularly among homes priced under $500,000. While the Northeast and Midwest have seen some growth, they are still lagging behind the other regions.

As of February, active listings climbed by 7.9 percent year over year, reaching 914,860 homes across the nation for sale. A little more than 7 percent of those listings resulted in contract cancellations—down slightly from the same time in 2025.

An analysis of the country’s 50 largest markets showed sharp increases in inventory in Seattle, with a 38.5 percent hike, as well as Louisville, Kentucky, 27.3 percent higher, and San Jose, with nearly 25 percent more homes on the market.

On the other side, Hartford, Connecticut, experienced the deepest drop in inventory at over 82 percent, as well as Providence, Rhode Island, at 61.1 percent.

Overall, homes spent a median of 70 days on the market in February, four days longer than a year earlier.

Global Uncertainty Hits An ALL-TIME HIGH! Higher Than Covid, 2008 Financial Crisis, Dot-com Crash COMBINED

Global uncertainty hits an ALL-TIME HIGH.

Higher than Covid, the 2008 financial crisis, and the dot-com crash COMBINED.

You know what that means!