Alarm! Challenger Job Cuts Rise 58.8% YoY As Real Wage Growth Is Negative At -3.34% YoY (10Y-2Y Yield Curve SCREAMS Recession)

#bubble, #inflation, #wine, @MetreSteven @JeffSnider_AIP @DiMartinoBooth @bondstrategist @RaoulGMI @LukeGromen @dlacalle_IA @EconguyRosie @profplum99 @SantiagoAuFund @biancoresearch @pboockvar @SriKGlobal, CRE, ECB, Economy, Fed, GDP, Gold, Housing, Inflation, Jobs, Mortgage, Natural Gas, New Home Sales, Oil, Powell, russia, Silver, SPX, Stocks, Treasuries, Treasury, Uncategorized, Wages, Yellen, Yield Curve 1 Minute

Alarm!

As most economists are aware, unemployment rates are not a leading indicator of a recession. But job cuts ARE a leading indicator.

Challenger US job cuts rose 58.8% YoY in June. Combine that with negative REAL wage growth (-3.34% YoY) and we have a problem.

Unemployment rate (U-3) is a poor leading indicator of recession since unemployment rates are the lowest before a recession.

Further signaling problems for the might US economy is the US Treasury yield curve (10Y-2Y). It is inverting.

In this slowing economy, there will be fewer people singing “Take This Job And Shove It!”.

Published by confoundedinterest17

Published