Are US financial conditions loose as a goose?

The last few weeks have seen US macro data reverse its recent trend of disappointment…

The long-end of the curve is outperforming…

But, ‘do not fight The Fed’ seems to be the narrative and expectations for a March rate-cut are rising once again…

And the market is pricing in over 160bps of cuts for next year…

Financial Conditions are now at the same level of looseness as of May 2022…

That is 300bps of Fed rate-hikes ago!!! Is that really what The Fed wanted?
Jay Powell and The Gang are likely partying at a nightclub drinking Heineken while the rest of us drink Pabst Blue Ribbon.

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