Bidenomics Falsehood: Biden “Created” 400k Jobs Per Month While Trump Lost Jobs (Actually Trump Averaged 1.56 Million Jobs Added Post-Covid While Biden Averaged 400k)

“One of the most cowardly things ordinarily people do, Is to shut their eyes to facts.” – C.S. Lewis

Okay, we know Biden lies constantly and misrepresents facts (hey, he is a politician like Adam Schiff (D-CA). But this graphic praising Bidenomics with Biden having created the most jobs (average per month) since Carter (notice they left out Democrat darling Jimmy Carter!!!). In this absurd graphic, Biden wins by “creating” over 400k jobs per month while Trump lost jobs per month. Riveting … except that it is completely misleading.

Actually, the US economy added 12.53 million jobs after April 2020 (Trump) while Bidenomics created took 2 1/2 years to add 12.56 million jobs. So, Biden took over twice as long to create jobs after Covid than it did under Trump. Simply opening the economy and schools produced that magical claim by Biden. And the National Teacher’s Union and Randi Weingarten worked with Fauci to orchestrate shutting down schools. Blaming Trump for local governments shutting down the economy is pure bunk.

12.53 millions jobs added / 8 months = 1.56 million jobs average per month. Biden? 12.56 million jobs added / 30 months = .43 million jobs average per month. So, Trump averaged more than 3x the job growth post-Covid than Biden.

Here is the “glories of Bidenomics” from the White House. As Biden likes to say, pure malarkey!

I wonder if the Democrat Party is a rebirth of New York City’s Tammany Hall corrupt political movement of the 1800s? Is Biden Boss Tweed? Or is Obama Boss Tweed with Biden as his nasty, dimwitted henchman?

In 1871, Thomas Nast denounces Tammany as a ferocious tiger killing democracy. The image of a tiger was often used to represent the Tammany Hall political movement. Sounds an awful lot like today’s Democrat Party.

Perhaps a fez for Democrats?

Bidenomics! Ford Will Lose $4.5 Billion On EVs This Year, Up From $2.1 Billion Last Year (Ford DOWN -48% Since January 2022, GM DOWN -40% As Fed Withdraws Stimulus)

Bidenomics, the term for “Government Gone Wild! in terms of spending and EPA regulations, is a disaster for the US middle class and low wage workers. Even the 1% are now hurting if bought into Biden’s green lunacy. Ford is now down -48% since January 14, 2022 as The Fed started raising rates to fight inflation. GM is down “only” -40%.

Ford is slated to lose $4.5 billion from its EV segment this year, a $1.5 billion larger loss than the company had expected. 

So far this year, the division has lost $1.8 billion and this year’s $4.5 billion loss figure blows away last year’s $2.1 billion loss. Ford also announced that its electric F-150 pickup trucks will undergo a price cut, according to Fox.

Ford beat earnings on Thursday and reported adjusted EPS of $0.72, beating expectations of $0.54. It posted revenue of $45 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $3.8 billion, above estimates of $3.15 billion. 

The company also raised its guidance, forecasting adjusted EBIT of $11 billion to $12 billion from $9 billion to $11 billion. The company is now guiding for free cash flow of $6.5 billion to $7 billion, from $6 billion. 

But reality has sunk in about the company’s comments regarding its EV production schedule and spending plans. Price cuts in the industry, led by Elon Musk and Tesla, have thrown Ford’s production targets into a tailspin and Morgan Stanley noted on Friday morning that “major changes to the EV strategy” could be necessary, according to a wrap up by Bloomberg. 

Ford now says it is “throttling back” on plans to ramp up EV production, the wrap up said. It blamed the price war for EVs as part of the cause and told shareholders it would need another year to meet its target of 600,000 EVs produced annually. 

Ford CEO Jim Farley said late last week: “The shift to powerful digital experiences and breakthrough EVs is underway and going to be volatile, so being able to guide customers through and adapt to the pace of adoption are big advantages for us. Ford+ is making us more resilient, efficient and profitable, which you can see in Ford Pro’s breakout second-quarter revenue improvement (22%) and EBIT margin (15%).”

CFO John Lawler said yesterday that the company “has ample resources to simultaneously fund disciplined investment in growth and return capital to shareholders – for the latter, targeting 40% to 50% of adjusted free cash flow,” Bloomberg added. He now says Ford is “not providing a date” for producing 2 million EVs per year, which was previously the company’s target for 2026. 

Ford’s inability to compete with Tesla was noted earlier this year in a piece titled Tesla ‘Weaponizes’ Price-Cuts To Crush EV Competition

Is the company pulling an Intel and “kitchen sinking” its guide for the year, or has Elon Musk’s price cuts over at Tesla really put the legacy automaker on the ropes? Ford reports again on October 26, where we’ll get our next glimpse into its continuing operations this year. 

Tesla is down -26% since January 14, 2022. And showing a nice turnaround!

Today, the 10-year Treasury yield is up 11 basis points.

Government Gone Wild!

Bidenomics! Mortgage Demand Decreases 3.0% From One Week Earlier, But Purchase Demand Down 26% From Last Year, Down -45% Under Biden While Mortgage Rates Are UP 134% (US Interest Expenses Surged By 50% In Past Year To Nearly $1 Trillion On Annualized Basis)

Inflation under Biden has been very painful for the US middle class and low wage workers. That inflation has resulted to surging mortgage rates thanks to The Fed’s counterattack.

The result? Mortgage rates are up 134% under Bidenomics, while mortgage purchase demand is down -45% since Biden was selected. And mortgage refinancing demand is down a staggering -90%!

Mortgage applications decreased 3.0 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending July 28, 2023.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 3.0 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 3 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 3 percent from the previous week and was 32 percent lower than the same week one year ago. The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index decreased 3 percent from one week earlier. The unadjusted Purchase Index decreased 3 percent compared with the previous week and was 26 percent lower than the same week one year ago.

US interest expenses have surged by about 50% in the past year, to nearly $1 trillion on an annualized basis.

Look at the share of net worth by the top 1% as Treasury borrows more money.

Oddly, Biden is not talking about about putting US government policies up for sale to the highest bidders. But don’t worry. Biden is the King of Corruption in the District of Corruption (Washington DC).

Bidenomics (Or Yellenomics)! Real Weekly Earnings For Men LOWER Under Biden Than Jimmy Carter! (Men’s Real Weekly Earnings DOWN -9% Since Q2 2021 While M2 Money UP 31%)

President Jimmy Carter is usually the bar for terrible Presidents. Under Carter, the US experienced economic stagnation and soaring inflation. At least it led to the election of Ronald Regan!

So, Biden’s much mentioned Bidenomics have produced REAL MEDIAN WEEKLY EARNINGS FOR MEN that is currently below 1979 levels under Jimmy Carter.

Even worse for Bidenomics, REAL MEDIAN WEEKLY EARNINGS GROWTH FOR MEN was -4.45% In April 2023, while the last reading prior to Covid under Trump was 6.674% YoY in February 2020. So, Bidenomics isn’t even back to Trump levels for men.

I like this chart which I call “Yellenomics” because it illustrates The Fed’s Folly of money printing and its impact on real earnings. After the Trump wage growth boom, real median weekly earnings for men has been steadily declining.

Women, on the other hand, did show a gain since Carter, but still lower than the last month before Covid struck. Women’s real median weekly earnings growth YoY since Q2 2021 are down -5%. So, Bidenomics has been less sucky for women than men.

Reminds me of The Yardbird’s classic “I’m A Man.” Worse off under Biden than under Jimmy Carter. Although The Yardbird’s “Over Under Sideways DOWN” is more emblematic of Bidenomics.

Bidenomics should be renamed Corruptionomics given Biden’s habit of selling government influence to anyone willing to waive a few million.

Bidenomics? C&I Lending Growth Crashes Along With Bank Credit Growth (WTI Crude Oil UP 1% This Morning) 30-year Mortgage Rates At 7.27%

Bidenomics, aka the Federal government takeover of the US economy with Soviet-style economic central planning, is highly dependent on loose Federal Reserve monetary policy (Janet Yellen and Powell’s wild overreaction to the massively inappropriate Covid shutdowns),

So, how is Bidenomics working out? On the bank lending front, commercial and industrial (C&I) lending growth is crashing along with bank credit growth YoY.

The US Treasury 10Y-2Y yield curve remains deeply inverted at -91.031 basis points and M2 Money growth has crashed. The 30 year mortgage rate is hovering around 7.27%.

And WTI Crude oil futures are up 1% this morning.

The body of Bidenomics.

Here is a pic of Biden sniffing Idaho.

Bidenomics At Work! US Pending Home Sales Crash -14.8% YoY As Fed Pushes Rates Up, Negative Growth For 24 Of Last 25 Months (Is Fed Chair Powell Actually Mr. Freeze?)

The Biden Administration is gushing about Q2’s Real GDP report of 2.4% QoQ. Wow, after trillions of dollars of stimulus spending and The Fed going wild with monetary stimulus, all we got was 2.4% growth??

But let’s turn the cameras on the housing market.

Pending home sales crashed -14.8% YoY in June.

Is Fed Chair Jay Powell actually Mr. Freeze? Here is Jay Powell looking at his printing press.

US New Home Sales Fall -2.5% MoM In June To 697k Units Sold (Thank The Fed For 23.8% YoY Growth!)

New home sales in June fell -2.5% from May to June to 697k units sold. But on a year-over-year (YoY) basis, new home sales are up 23.8%. Thanks largely to The Federal Reserve slow walking the shrinking of their massive balance sheet.

Too much monetary stimulus and The Fed’s failure to remove the Covid stimulus is now hitting new home sales.

KJP “Hurts So Good” Presser: Prices UP 16.6% And Real Wages Down -3% Since Biden Took Office (Food UP 56%, Gasoline UP 52%, Mortgage Rates UP 153%) Hurt So Good???

Biden Press Secretary KARINE JEAN-PIERRE: “The American people are beginning to feel Bidenomics”

Prices are up 16.6% and real wages are down 3% since Biden took office.

Well, at least Jean-Pierre didn’t claim like her boss Joe Biden claimed that he “ended cancer as we know it.”

But getting back to Jean-Pierre’s claim that “The American people are beginning to feel Bidenomics.” She is right (for once). Americans are REALLY feeling Bidenomics. And it hurts SO BAD!!!

What hurts so bad? Food (CRB Foodstuffs) are up 56% under Bidenomics. Real weekly wage growth is down -90% since Biden assumed office. Regular gas prices are up 52%. And the 30Y mortgage rate is up a staggering 153%. Yes, Karine, this hurts so bad!

While real wages are down -3% under Biden and the real average weekly wage growth is down -90%. That REALLY hurts so good.

But Biden and KJP think that Bidenomics “hurts so good.”

A video of Bidenomics.

Case-Shiller National Home Price Index Slows To -0.46% YoY As Fed Withdraws Covid Stimulus SLOWLY (Mortgage Rates UP 151% Under Bidenomics, Taylor Rule Suggests Fed Rate Of 10.42%)

The Case-Shiller home price numbers are out for May. The national home price index is down -0.46% YoY as The Fed slows M2 Money growth into negative growth territory. No doubt Biden (and Karine Jean-Pierre) will take credit for slowing home price growth, although The Federal Reserve slowing monetary stimulus is mostly responsible.

The Fed is still slow walking shrinking its enormous balance sheet. Although The Fed is cranking up their target rate.

The Taylor Rule suggests a 10.42 target rate to cool inflation. They are only half way there!!!

Bidenomics Or How Washington Ruined America’s Future: Interest on Federal Debt Rose 76% Under Biden (US Interest On Federal Debt > 6x EU Defense Spending As Unfunded US Liabilities Exceed $192 TRILLION!)

How badly has Bidenomics and generally Federal spending has crippled the US? An example. The interest on US Federal debt is approaching $1 TRILLION (and Biden/Democrats REFUSE to cut any spending, not that Republicans are much better). To show up how messed up this is, the EU’s defense budget (remember Ukraine?) is far smaller that the US interest payments on their debt. That is, US interest payments alone on the massive Federal debt of over $32 trillion is over 6 times larger than the entire defense budget for the European Union!

United States Secretary of Treasury Janet Yellen has an incredible job.  She writes rubber checks to pay America’s bills.  Yet, somehow, the rubber checks don’t bounce.  Instead, like magic, they clear.

How this all works, considering the nation’s technically insolvent, is quite miraculous.  But it works, nonetheless.  Again and again, the Treasury borrows money.  And Washington spends it.

Yellen likely knows that full faith and credit is too good to be true.  The U.S. government’s gross fiscal mismanagement should call the veracity of its notes into question.  But why focus on it when there’s an abundance to be acquired from weekly Treasury bill auctions?

On a recent trip to China, Yellen was spotted by a local food blogger consuming a plate of magic mushrooms.  An aide to Yellen later confirmed that she did, indeed, order them.  The restaurant’s “staff said she loved [the] mushrooms very much.  It was an extremely magical day.”

We don’t know what their acute effects on Yellen were, while she was in Beijing.  But the mushrooms appear to be contributing to her chronic hallucinations about the U.S. economy’s current health.  This week, for example, while attending the G20 meeting in India, Yellen remarked:

“For the United States, growth has slowed, but our labor market continues to be quite strong.  I don’t expect a recession.  The most recent inflation data were quite encouraging.”

These, no doubt, are the fantasies of a person under the influence of mind-altering chemicals.  Either that, or her mind has turned soft over decades of working as a professional economist for the Federal Reserve and the Treasury.

Tempered Perspective

The unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is, in fact, just 3.6 percent.  Yellen can celebrate the data point.  But the quality of the jobs being created is not the type that will drive economic growth.

Higher-paying technology and finance jobs are being purged.  While leisure, hospitality, and government are the sectors contributing to employment growth.  These jobs may be important.  Still, they will not create new wealth or help America compete with its global rivals.

Yellen, while under the influence, also remarked that she doesn’t expect a recession.  Maybe this is why you should expect one.

Her predictive acumen has missed the target in the past.  If you recall, in 2017 she said she did not believe another financial crisis would happen in our lifetime.  Since then, we’ve had one financial crisis after another, including the most recent bank failures this spring.

Just this week, Bank of America reported its bond losses in the second quarter increased $7 billion to nearly $106 billion.  And Starwood Capital Group just defaulted on a $215.5 million mortgage on an Atlanta office tower.  Probably nothing to worry about, right?

In addition, this week Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), the mega chip maker, reported its first profit drop in 4 years.  Revenue slipped 10 percent from a year ago.  What’s more, net income fell 23.3 percent.  Wasn’t AI supposed to drive silicon wafer production to commanding heights?

With respect to what Yellen called ‘encouraging inflation data’.  While under the influence, she was likely referring to the recent CPI report from the BLS, which showed that in June, consumer prices increased at an annualized rate of 3 percent.  This is still 50 percent higher than the Fed’s arbitrary inflation target.

Moreover, the energy commodities component showed a 16.7 percent price decline over the last year.  This has coincided with President Biden draining the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to a 40-year low.  Without these short-sighted actions, the current inflation data would be much less encouraging.

Structural Crisis

In short, the U.S. economy’s prospects do not quite align with Yellen’s positive outlook.  And if you look out further than just the current data reports, you’ll be greeted with a structural crisis of significant consequence.

In fact, simple arithmetic quickly reveals the precarious predicament the 118th Congress is putting the American people in.

The Treasury Department, the agency Yellen oversees, recently reported that for the first 9 months of the 2023 fiscal year, the federal government ran a budget deficit of nearly $1.4 trillion.  That’s a 170 percent increase from the same period last year.

The big surprise, however, was that interest on Treasury debt securities for the first 9 months of FY2023 topped $652 billion.  A 25 percent increase for this period a year ago.

Rapid and repeated interest rate hikes by the Fed to contain the raging price inflation of its own making, has blown out the interest owed on Treasury debt.  Anyone with half an inkling knew this was coming from miles away.

The growth of federal debt has been out of control for decades.  But the rate of debt growth in the 21st century has rapidly accelerated.

The solution that’s commonly offered by the politicians for getting a handle on Washington’s debt problem is for the economy to somehow grow its way out.  Countless policies over the years have generally involved borrowing money from the future and spending it today.

Yet economic growth never manages to outpace the debt increases.  Instead, the debt piles up higher and higher with each passing year.  The simple fact is you can’t grow your way out of debt when the debt’s increasing faster than gross domestic product (GDP).

For example, in 2000 the federal debt was about $5.6 trillion, and U.S. GDP was about $10 trillion.  Today, the federal debt is over $32.5 trillion, and GDP is about $26.5 trillion.  In just 23 years the federal debt has increased by over 480 percent while GDP has increased just 165 percent.

How Washington Ruined America’s Future

Recently, the Peter G. Peterson Foundation attempted to characterize the $32 trillion federal debt.  The number is so large it is difficult to comprehend.  Here is some of what the foundation came up with:

The $32 trillion debt is more than the combined values of the economies of China, Japan, Germany, and the United Kingdom.  It represents $244,000 per household or $96,000 per person in America.  And if every household contributed $1,000 per month towards paying down the national debt it would take over 20 years.

Without question, Washington has run up an impossible tab.  Yet, what does it have to show for all this recklessness?

America’s cities are decaying from the inside out.  The infrastructure is crumbling.  The country has been involved in one overseas quagmire after another.  And the populace is struggling with gender identification pronouns.

The political will to stop this massive debt pileup has been nonexistent.  Democrats and Republicans have both spent like drunken sailors.  There’s been no tradeoffs or compromises to cut spending.  There’s been zero effort to balance the budget.  And now it’s too late.

As mentioned above, interest on Treasury debt securities for the first 9 months of FY2023 topped $652 billion – a 25 percent increase from a year ago.  But this is just the beginning.

As interest rates continue to rise, the annual interest on Treasury debt will soon pass $1 trillion.  That would put this line item at par with outlays for Social Security, the U.S. government’s largest expenditure.

This would also put spending on interest payments above the combined spending of research and development, infrastructure, and education.

Consequently, by repeatedly borrowing and spending money, piling up massive debt, and then being forced to jack up interest rates, Washington has ruined America’s future.

Yippee!  Look Ma, no hands! The face of America decline: Former Fed Chair Janet “Too Low For Too Long” Yellen who is now our woefully inept Treasury Secretary. You know, the Treasury Secretary who bowed three times to a Chinese Communist Party leader.

A reminder of the pickle that our politicians have put us in. US Federal debt is at $32.62 TRILLION … and UNFUNDED LIABILITIES (Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, etc) are at $192.5 TRILLION!!! Yes, the US economy is broken beyond hope of repair, yet dunce voters keep reelecting imbeciles like Joe Biden, Chuck Schumer, John McConnell, etc.